Connacht Tribune
New Year’s election could see Martin’s time to shine

World of Politics with Harry McGee – harry.mcgee@gmail.com
The one thing we can say for sure is that we will have a general election in 2020 – even if nobody is quite sure when it will happen. My own view is that it will be in April or May (maybe that’s a bit of wishful thinking) but there is a chance that Leo Varadkar will pull the plug early and decide for a February election.
So who’s going to the next Taoiseach? As of now, I’d say Micheál Martin is the favourite. And we could end up with a situation where Fine Gael gets more of the popular vote but Fianna Fáíl gets more TDs and the key to Government Buildings in Merrion Street.
How could that be? Well every electoral system has its quirks and its drawbacks as well as its advantages.
If you look at the British system, it is first past the post in each constituency. It is efficient but it is ruthless. It favours a decisive result. In other words it is raked towards making sure a strong government can be formed. That’s why the dominant parties dominate more than they should.
The Liberal Democrats and the Green Party got millions of votes between them but ended up with only eleven seats, and one seat respectively – that’s out of 650.
That’s why it’s easier to predict which party will benefit if there are swings in support, even relatively small ones.
Our system is different. One of its great benefits is that it is proportional. So if a small party gets, say, seven per cent of the vote, it is likely that it will get in and around that number of seats.
There are downsides. In multi-seat constituencies the incumbent TDs from each party are as often bitter rivals with their own party colleagues as they are with their rivals from other parties.
Also, because old traditions don’t hold any more, a more dissolute form of electoral politics has emerged where it looks increasingly impossible for any party to have an overall majority.
At this moment, following Dara Murphy’s departure, Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil has exactly the same number of TDs, 46 each, with Sinn Féin now at 22 (it has lost two TDs who defected in the lifetime of this Dáíl – Peadar Tóibín and Carol Nolan – and has gained a new TD, Mark Ward, in the by-election).
I think it’s possible that both big parties will add to their seats after the general election, at the expense of Independents.
For more, read this week’s Connacht Tribune.
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Connacht Tribune
West has lower cancer survival rates than rest

Significant state investment is required to address ‘shocking’ inequalities that leave cancer patients in the West at greater risk of succumbing to the disease.
A meeting of Regional Health Forum West heard that survival rates for breast, lung and colorectal cancers than the national average, and with the most deprived quintile of the population, the West’s residents faced poorer outcomes from a cancer diagnosis.
For breast cancer patients, the five-year survival rate was 80% in the West versus 85% nationally; for lung cancer patients it was 16.7% in the west against a 19.5% national survival rate; and in the West’s colorectal cancer patients, there was a 62.6% survival rate where the national average was 63.1%.
These startling statistics were provided in answer to a question from Ballinasloe-based Cllr Evelyn Parsons (Ind) who said it was yet another reminder that cancer treatment infrastructure in the West was in dire need of improvement.
“The situation is pretty stark. In the Western Regional Health Forum area, we have the highest incidence of deprivation and the highest health inequalities because of that – we have the highest incidences of cancer nationally because of that,” said Cllr Parsons, who is also a general practitioner.
In details provided by CEO of Saolta Health Care Group, which operates Galway’s hospitals, it was stated that a number of factors were impacting on patient outcomes.
Get the full story in this week’s Connacht Tribune, on sale in shops now, or you can download the digital edition from www.connachttribune.ie. You can also download our Connacht Tribune App from Apple’s App Store or get the Android Version from Google Play.
Connacht Tribune
Galway minors continue to lay waste to all opponents

Galway 3-18
Cork 1-10
NEW setting; new opposition; new challenge. It made no difference to the Galway minor hurlers as they chalked up a remarkable sixth consecutive double digits championship victory at Semple Stadium on Saturday.
The final scoreline in Thurles may have been a little harsh on Cork, but there was no doubting Galway’s overall superiority in setting up only a second-ever All-Ireland showdown against Clare at the same venue on Sunday week.
Having claimed an historic Leinster title the previous weekend, Galway took a while to get going against the Rebels and also endured their first period in a match in which they were heavily outscored, but still the boys in maroon roll on.
Beating a decent Cork outfit by 14 points sums up how formidable Galway are. No team has managed to lay a glove on them so far, and though Clare might ask them questions other challengers haven’t, they are going to have to find significant improvement on their semi-final win over 14-man Kilkenny to pull off a final upset.
Galway just aren’t winning their matches; they are overpowering the teams which have stood in their way. Their level of consistency is admirable for young players starting off on the inter-county journey, while the team’s temperament appears to be bombproof, no matter what is thrown at them.
Having romped through Leinster, Galway should have been a bit rattled by being only level (0-4 each) after 20 minutes and being a little fortunate not to have been behind; or when Cork stormed out of the blocks at the start of the second half by hitting 1-4 to just a solitary point in reply, but there was never any trace of panic in their ranks.
For more, read this week’s Connacht Tribune.
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Connacht Tribune
Gardaí and IFA issue a joint appeal on summer road safety

GARDAÍ and the IFA have issued a joint appeal to all road users to take extra care as the silage season gets under way across the country.
Silage harvesting started in many parts of Galway last week – and over the coming month, the sight of tractors and trailers on rural roads will be getting far more frequent.
Inspector Conor Madden, who is in charge of Galway Roads Policing, told the Farming Tribune that a bit of extra care and common-sense from all road users would go a long way towards preventing serious collisions on roads this summer.
“One thing I would ask farmers and contractors to consider is to try and get more experienced drivers working for them.
“Tractors have got faster and bigger – and they are also towing heavy loads of silage – so care and experience are a great help in terms of accident prevention,” Inspector Madden told the Farming Tribune.
He said that tractor drivers should always be aware of traffic building up behind them and to pull in and let these vehicles pass, where it was safe to do so.
“By the same token, other road users should always exercise extra care; drive that bit slower; and ‘pull in’ that bit more, when meeting tractors and heavy machinery.
“We all want to see everyone enjoying a safe summer on our roads – that extra bit of care, and consideration for other roads users can make a huge difference,” said Conor Madden.
He also advised motorists and tractor drivers to be acutely aware of pedestrians and cyclists on the roads during the summer season when more people would be out walking and cycling on the roads.
The IFA has also joined in on the road safety appeal with Galway IFA Farm Family and Social Affairs Chair Teresa Roche asking all road users to exercise that extra bit of care and caution.
“We are renewing our annual appeal for motorists to be on the look out for tractors, trailers and other agricultural machinery exiting from fields and farmyards,” she said.
For more, read this week’s Connacht Tribune.
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