Political World
Donnelly’s withdrawal won’t sink bank inquiry
World of Politics with Harry McGee
The banking inquiry has turned into a terrible mess – but if truth be told, this fall has been long coming. And how we have got to here has provided a salutary lesson about politics.
It is often described as the art of the possible. That’s a rather posh way of saying when we promise something there’s absolutely no guarantee that it’s ever going to happen in the way you think it is.
The promise of a banking inquiry was one of the central planks of the Programme for Government. And why would it not have been?
Even three and a half years later, the memories have not completely faded of the febrile atmosphere that existed at the time. There was real raw anger – with the banks; with the speculators; with Fianna Fáil and the Greens in Government.
The IMF was in town and the descent into the fifth circle of economic hell had happened so quickly that people were struggling to understand. A lot of the heat and light in the debate during the election campaign had surrounded the granting of the blanket bank guarantee at the end of September in 2008.
Brian Cowen and his Cabinet said there was nothing else that happened that night that was material to the decision. The Opposition continued to voice suspicion. On the social media, the main theme (as ever) was conspiracy – I’d say over half the tweets these days are tapped out from a grassy knoll.
So it was not surprising the commitment to hold a banking inquiry was an imperative in the Programme for Government. Enda Kenny, recalling it in the Dáil recently, even quoted Albert Einstein: Learn from yesterday, live for today, hope for tomorrow.
The problem with quoting Einstein is that if your plan is less than genius you are going to look silly. The first approach to the runway was the referendum in October 2011 to extend the scope and powers of parliamentary inquiries.
The ability of parliament to investigate matters of great public controversy had been seriously curtailed following the judgement of the courts that a parliamentary inquiry into the Garda shooting of John Carthy in Abbeylara, Co Longford, had overstepped its mark.
After that, parliamentary investigations have been like a bird with clipped wings, unable to undertake meaningful inquiries because they could not make any adverse findings against an individual who wasn’t a member of the Oireachtas.
The problem with Brendan Howlin’s remedy was that he went too far the other way. He proposed to give parliamentary inquiries wide powers with the spectre being raised that they could almost operate a parallel system of justice to the courts. A focused attack late in the campaign by former Attorney Generals put paid to the referendum and it was back to square one.
For more, read this week’s Connacht Tribune.
Connacht Tribune
The fine art of good timing when it comes to elections
World of Politics with Harry McGee
Academically, politics is described as a science. But in the real world, it’s more of an art – and one of the big decisions a Government has to make is to decide when to call an election.
Will they see out the full term, or will they go early – either to mitigate the damage they will ship, or to secure a victory before things go awry, or the economy takes a dip, or some kind of controversy erupts?
Timing is everything.
And there’s a bit of art to that – not to mention a lot of luck. If you call it early and win big, you’re a genius. If you call it early and lose, you are the political version of the village fool.
Charlie Haughey was a poor judge of the public mood. Twice he called snap elections and on both occasions they backfired. Haughey succeeded Jack Lynch as Taoiseach in late 1979 and did not – technically – have his own mandate. He tried to remedy that by calling an election in 1981. But it recoiled. Ray MacSharry warned him not to hold it during the H Block hunger strikes when republican prisoners were dying each day. He did not listen to the advice and found himself out of office.
After his return to power in 1987, Haughey tired of presiding over a minority government that kept on losing votes in the Oireachtas (the opposition won nine private members motions).
So he called a snap general election and it backfired. Fianna Fáil lost seats and had to broker a coalition deal with the Progressive Democrats and his long-standing political adversary Dessie O’Malley.
For more, read this week’s Connacht Tribune.
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Connacht Tribune
Inch protest arguments are more subtle than Oughterard
World of Politics with Harry McGee
I was cycling down Mount Street in Dublin on Tuesday. It’s a wide esplanade that links the Grand Canal with Merrion Square. The street is a mixture of fine Georgian buildings and modern office blocks.
About half-way down is the office of the International Protection Office, which deals with asylum seekers who have arrived in the country.
Needless to say, the office has been overwhelmed in the past year. Besides an estimated 80,000 refugees who have arrived from Ukraine, there have been about 20,000 people from other parts of the world who have arrived into Dublin (mostly) claiming asylum.
The numbers peaked around Christmas, but they have been falling a little. In January, more than 1,300 people arrived seeking asylum but the numbers fell back to 831 and 858, in February and March respectively.
They are still huge numbers in a historical context.
So back to my cycle on Tuesday. I knew that some asylum seekers were camping outside the International Protection Office, but I was taken aback by how many. There were six tents lined up on the pavement directly outside. Then on the ramp that led down to the basement carpark on the side of the building, there were about another 20 tents.
It looked like what it was, a refugee camp in the middle of Dublin’s business district. If you pan out from Mount Street, you will find tents here and there in nearby streets and alleys. There were a good few tents in an alleyway off Sandwith Street about 500 metres away.
For more, read this week’s Connacht Tribune.
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Or purchase the Digital Edition for PC, Mac or Laptop from Pagesuite HERE.
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Connacht Tribune
Sinn Féin hunt for seats in ‘locals’ across Galway
World of Politics with Harry McGee
God that was a dramatic and historic weekend in England, wasn’t it? So much excitement, so much change, so much hype, so much out with the old and in with the new, and what looks like the coronation of a new leader. Yes, the local elections in Britain were something else weren’t they!
Apologies for not going on about King Charles III but the contract I signed when I became a lifelong republican forbids me to discuss the topic!
I know the British local elections sound a bit boring by comparison, but the results were stunning.
The Conservatives lost nearly 1,000 seats, the British Labour Party gained almost 500 and both the Lib Dems (with 350 gains) and the Greens (gaining over 200) also had amazing days at the polls.
It was Labour’s best day since 2002 but its victory was only partial. The Greens and the Lib Dems actually made gains at the expense of Labour in more affluent areas, and in parts of Britain where there were high numbers of graduates.
It was in the Red Wall constituencies in the North of England where the Labour recovery was strongest. These are working class constituencies with pockets of deprivation where people voted for the Labour Party forever. But all of those constituencies voted for Brexit and then voted for the Tories in the next general election. Labour is now winning back some of those votes.
Local elections are classified as second-tier elections which essentially means – from a national perspective – they are not life-or-death affairs, and not everything turns on them. Of course, it’s really important to have good local representation. But they are not an amazing weather vane for who rules the country.
For more, read this week’s Connacht Tribune.
Connacht Tribune Digital Edition App
Download the Connacht Tribune Digital Edition App to access to Galway’s best-selling newspaper.
Click HERE to download it for iPhone and iPad from Apple’s App Store, or HERE to get the Android Version from Google Play.
Or purchase the Digital Edition for PC, Mac or Laptop from Pagesuite HERE.
Get the Connacht Tribune Live app
The Connacht Tribune Live app is the home of everything that is happening in Galway City and county. It’s completely FREE and features all the latest news, sport and information on what’s on in your area. Click HERE to download it for iPhone and iPad from Apple’s App Store, or HERE to get the Android Version from Google Play.